Despite soaring new launch prices, will buying now promise future capital appreciation?

Post-COVID Singapore saw an unprecedented surge in home prices:

 

- Rising construction costs;

- Rising labour costs;

- Increase in compliance costs;

- New URA rules – Harmonization of floor areas, which reduces overall saleable area.

 

 

Will today's high be tomorrow's low?

 

OCR new launch prices hit a new peak every few years (see below).

OCR new launches

Source: URA, ERA Research and Market Intelligence

 

RCR new launch prices hit a new peak every few years (see below).

RCR new launches

Source: URA, ERA Research and Market Intelligence

 

CCR new launch prices hit a new peak every few years (see below).

CCR new launches

Source: URA, ERA Research and Market Intelligence

 

Why do Singapore home prices continue to rise?

- Land scarce Singapore = Rising land cost;

- Higher GLS prices by tender translate to higher launch prices (see below);

Condo average land price vs launch price

Source: URA, ERA Research and Market Intelligence

 

- Even EC land costs are climbing fast, due to limited supply (see below);

EC average land price vs launch price

Source: URA, ERA Research and Market Intelligence

 

- Developers’ land buying sprees are seasonal (see below);

Land scarcity in Singapore – time to wave goodbye to leisure parks and golf  courses? | ASEAN Today

Government land sales ($bil) vs unsold units

Source: URA, ERA Research & Market Intelligence

 

OCR new launch prices hit a new peak every few years after the developers’ land buying sprees (see below);

OCR new launches

Source: URA, ERA Research and Market Intelligence

 

RCR new launch prices hit a new peak every few years after the developers’ land buying sprees (see below);

RCR new launches

Source: URA, ERA Research and Market Intelligence

 

CCR new launch prices hit a new peak every few years after the developers’ land buying sprees (see below);

CCR new launches

Source: URA, ERA Research and Market Intelligence

 

Disclaimer 

This information is provided solely on a goodwill basis and does not relieve parties of their responsibility to verify the information from the relevant sources and/or seek appropriate advice from relevant professionals such as valuers, financial advisers, bankers and lawyers.

For avoidance of doubt, ERA Realty Network and its salespersons accept no responsibility for the accuracy, reliability and/or completeness of the information provided. Copyright in this publication is owned by ERA and this publication may not be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, in whole or in part, without prior written approval.

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